Moody's Analytics provides comprehensive macro and regional forecasts to help clients from various industries assess potential economic outcomes on the performance of businesses and investments.
Our forecasts have a 30-year horizon and are updated monthly to reflect the latest economic data and expectations. Our scenario-driven approach to forecasting begins with our baseline forecast. We define this as the “most likely outcome” based on current conditions and our view of where the economy is headed. We then develop the basic outlines of our alternative scenarios by running multiple simulations to develop a probability distribution of economic outcomes.
Comprehensive Coverage of the Global Economy
Our economists produce forecasts for 100+ countries and sub regions using our fully-specified structural global macroeconomic model that covers 12,000+ variables, including labor markets, real estate prices, interest rates, initial claims and more. Geographies are interlinked by trade flows, financial markets, prices and investments.
Fully Documented Forecast Methodology and Narratives
We furnish a fully documented model methodology and validation reports as well as narratives for baseline forecasts and each scenario. Clients also have direct access to economists, data specialists and a dedicated client services team for support.VIEW OUR ECONOMIC DATA & FORECAST CATALOG
Victor Calanog, Ph.D.
Leading economist; commercial real estate; performance forecasting, econometric infrastructure; data modeling; credit risk modeling; portfolio assessment; custom commercial real estate analysis; thought leader.
Steven G. Cochrane
Leading APAC economist oversees regional economic analysis and forecasting; presents company’s economic research and outlook, and leads consulting projects to help clients assess effects of these developments on their business.
Acclaimed international economist and economics thought leader focusing on macroeconomic analysis and policy, economic consulting, econometric modeling and forecasting for Mexico and Latin America.
Global Economic Data & Forecasts
Leverage economic, demographic, and financial data, forecasts, and scenarios for the global economy.
Scenario Studio enables you to produce custom economic scenarios based on Moody's Analytics global macroeconomic forecast model to test the impact of shocks.
Auto Residual Forecasts - AutoCycle™
Manage your auto portfolio by leveraging quantitative forecasts of car values by make, model, mileage, and year under normal and stressed scenarios.
Bank Call Report Forecasts
Moody’s Analytics Bank Call Report Forecasts provide a objective approach for measuring the effects of macroeconomic variables on income and balance sheet projections. Our service allows for a more realistic assessment of bank factors affecting portfolio results under various scenario
Case-Shiller™ Home Price Index Forecasts
Utilize exclusive housing price forecasts based on Case-Shiller Home Price Indexes to effectively manage risk and opportunity in residential portfolios.
Country Risk Service
Moody’s Analytics Country Risk Index (MACRI) provides a standardized methodology to assess and compare investment risk across 188 countries.
Consumer Credit Forecasts - CreditForecast.com
Access exclusive forecasts and analyses of US consumer credit behavior based on data from Equifax.
Financial Markets Forecasts
This service provides forecasts of market risk instruments under alternative scenarios for improved risk management processes.